Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.838440 7.808453 8.878878 10.149693 11.619835 13.270115 15.267225
2025-06-29 5.459586 6.698549 8.175500 10.073127 12.456968 15.365901 19.205170
2025-07-06 4.603324 5.947446 7.641679 9.947870 13.026710 17.025260 22.660104
2025-07-13 4.165898 5.616785 7.532122 10.268215 14.113186 19.378274 27.227329
2025-07-20 3.801565 5.316085 7.396407 10.494913 15.048106 21.579549 31.813542
2025-07-27 3.557822 5.141301 7.395689 10.883264 16.221753 24.214104 37.328741
2025-08-03 3.185419 4.734382 7.008522 10.643787 16.409136 25.368820 40.679798
2025-08-10 2.895626 4.416532 6.713806 10.499370 16.704863 26.691980 44.424923
2025-08-17 2.650731 4.140939 6.451873 10.369251 16.992489 28.008387 48.289309
2025-08-24 2.432032 3.884489 6.192612 10.209881 17.201637 29.196094 52.048574
2025-08-31 2.233077 3.641052 5.930050 10.013683 17.317069 30.217609 55.608882
2025-09-07 2.168333 3.612866 6.018248 10.422948 18.531234 33.306184 63.417140
2025-09-14 2.051663 3.488634 5.935952 10.529214 19.219166 35.530203 69.898437
2025-09-21 1.917521 3.322549 5.766088 10.458845 19.567406 37.147058 75.373701
2025-09-28 1.787924 3.153382 5.575419 10.329061 19.782895 38.519676 80.510128
2025-10-05 1.736058 3.120049 5.627014 10.662790 20.942000 41.904498 90.439741
2025-10-12 1.674574 3.063432 5.629599 10.898949 21.924980 45.032383 100.235938
2025-10-19 1.638264 3.050862 5.713460 11.303543 23.298143 49.142414 112.892170
2025-10-26 1.527054 2.885566 5.488472 11.054044 23.246385 50.127951 118.227891
2025-11-02 1.436323 2.753550 5.318576 10.903593 23.393895 51.572498 124.893261
2025-11-09 1.354469 2.633149 5.162545 10.768043 23.559292 53.073068 131.913027
2025-11-16 1.275887 2.513707 4.999367 10.602029 23.637105 54.373464 138.597834
2025-11-23 1.199572 2.393572 4.825852 10.397663 23.604118 55.401258 144.701351